From stubbornly high living costs to a softer labor market, economists say these are the forces that will shape the year ...

An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems to have a track record of predicting recessions. The question of leading ...

Key Takeaways Inflation is forecast to cool but remain above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, raising uncertainty about whether the U.S. can truly achieve a “soft landing.”Economic growth may start ...

Imagine you are sailing a ship through dense fog, looking out for land. Your lookout spots species of birds typically found offshore. It now seems likely that you are approaching land, but it is ...

Goldman Sachs economists lowered their recession forecast for the U.S. to 35%, from 45% previously, following a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China on Monday, which lifted hopes of ...

A robust GDP print, profit growth, and 2026 policy tailwinds show why the U.S. economy may stay resilient despite ...

Major brokerages have gone back on their U.S. recession forecasts after a 90-day tariff pause between U.S. and China. The revised predictions come after both countries agreed to reduce tariffs: the ...

(Reuters) - Major brokerages have scaled back their U.S. recession forecasts following a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China, which has fueled optimism for easing global trade ...

The Bay Area's tremendous six-year economic boom is winding down and the region will almost certainly slip into a recession within the next 12 months, according to a widely watched forecast issued ...

JPMorgan Chase‘s chief global strategist suggests that the US economy, while likely to dodge a recession, should brace for slower growth. Despite these challenges, Kelly remains optimistic about the ...

UCLA Anderson Forecast predicted in March that, if enacted, the Trump administration’s economic policies will lead to recession. Clement Bohr, the economist who authored the recession watch report, ...